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Indeed, it will be more of confronting reality than perception for Nigeria ruling class, who have had the opportunity of being in power and to prove to Nigerians what they have done and have the capacity to do if elected the next president. While in politics, anything could happen there is nothing like certainty, events in the present shows 2019 will be very different with lots of emphasis on voter education and holistic social movement.
Here we have another countdown to people that may have a strong say in 2019 election:
President Muhammadu Buhari
Although in the last two years the Buhari administration had reduced corruption in high places and
recovered some looted funds from corrupt government officials, many sectors of the Nigerian polity,
especially the economy, are still calling for attention.
Apart from the unity of the country, which is facing one of the greatest challenges since the civil war
years, culminating in secession threats and hate speeches across the land, insecurity, industrial strikes
and economic fallouts such as inflation and youth unemployment, are serious issues heating up the
political space as 2019 is approaching.
The defection of Atiku to the PDP has long been foretold. He too is a damaged good. The
magnitude and scope of the failure of the APC government maximize the odds of defection from
the party in the run-up to the elections.
There is, of course, also an element of opportunism in jumping from one party to the other.
Realistically, Atiku has the wherewithal financially and viable network to competitively vie for the
presidency but if it comes down to a choice being between him and President Buhari, I think the
president will carry the day.
However, his coming to the PDP is an asset. The party will need the additional strength it brings
The Pinnacle believe President Buhari’s chances of making a repeat of the 2015 win are slim because the terrain has considerably changed from that of 2015 while some consider it a done deal because of the massive following that the president still commands, especially in the northern part of the country, the level of voter education happening now coupled with factors stated above will make it very difficult if not impossible to gain popular vote. in terms of financial and structural support. It does not mean he will emerge as the candidate of the party but he is a potential candidate for the party. He still has to go through the rigours of party primaries.
The greatest obstacle he has is that there are formidable stakeholders and game changers in the system such as past reputation for been corrupt, Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, and Buhari himself, etc, who cannot countenance him as a potential president.
Obasanjo has succeeded in creating a brand for himself that whatever comment he makes
always elicit chain reaction. Pinnacle understands that for Obasanjo to advise the president not
to run in the 2019 election, he might have done his analysis, asked questions and interacted
with other political stakeholders.
2019 is not going to be business as usual, because it’s going to be a politics that will be a North-
North contention which means votes will be first shared in the North and the South having this
present state of things will be very decisive Obasanjo’s influence in 2019 can be seen in starting the Coalition which is well located globally on the strength of the Obasanjo brand using it as tool against resumption of his war without arm with Atiku and other candidates. He is experiencing a transition in his politics from plastic conception of democratisation to activism.
Looking at what happened in Nigeria in the last two years, people often get confused as to where to start
searching for “the understanding of our confusion.”
After you acknowledge that President Jonathan failed woefully, there is confusion as to how we ended
up with President Buhari. People assume that Nigerians woke up one day and decided to vote for
Buhari. But that was not what happened.
What happened was that Bola Tinubu, working hand-in-hand with like-minded people in his political team decided that the only way they could wrestle power away from President Jonathan and the PDP was to use retired general Muhammadu Buhari.
Buhari delivered the win but not the victory. Over time, as the cabal around Buhari squeezed out Tinubu and froze Tinubu’s man, Osinbajo, in Buhari’s government, Tinubu started planning his next move. There is no doubt that he is still relevant in today’s politics